Saturday, May 5, 2012

Kentucky Derby Analysis by America's Handicapper Toby Callet

#4 - UNION RAGS heads into the biggest test of his career moving in the right direction. Homebred son of DIXIE UNION not only raced against the bias in The Florida Derby, but also lost a shoe on two separate occasions that day. He's trained like a "wild beast" since arriving in the Bluegrass State and appears ready to give these guys a good old-fashioned beating! #3 - TAKE CHARGE INDY had the best of it when defeating the top choice in their most recent. He exits the right prep and should outrun his odds. #15 - GEMOLOGIST is two for two under the "Twin Spires." The Longshot is #16 - EL PADRINO.

Suggested Wagering Strategy:

Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta Key: 4/3-15-16.

Exacta Part-Wheel: 3-15-16/4.

Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta Box: 3-4-15-16.

Trifecta Wheel: 4/3-15-16/All and 4/All/3-15-16.

Toby Callet, a professional horseplayer himself for nearly 40 years, provides Toby's Key Plays and Horses To Watch. He's a nationally recognized public handicapper as well. Four-time panelist at The 2007 Horseplayers' Expo at the Wynn Hotel in Las Vegas, Callet has been involved in many aspects of thoroughbred handicapping. Two-year-old Pedigree Analyst at Calder Casino and Race Course ( since 1997, his Key Plays focus primarily on maiden races and turf events. For more information about Toby Callet, his work, and the venues he covers, please visit or or email him at